The Probable Effects Of The New International Trade Agreement

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  • on October 11, 2021
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To put these results in context, we assess the relevance of the empirically identified effects of ASAs by comparing the estimated BTA impact indices with the corresponding values for country pairs that only entered into a trade agreement in 2014. To this end, we calculate the BTA index for the 15,199 pairs of countries that did not sign such an agreement during the IP and start from an arbitrary reference year 2002. As shown in Figure 2, the presence of a BTA generally coincides with an increased probability of a positive BTA index….

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